Completeness (statistics)

Suppose a random variable X (which may be a sequence (X₁, ..., X_n) of scalar-valued random variables), has a probability distribution belonging to a known family of probability distributions, parametrized by θ, which may be either vector- or scalar-valued. A function g(X) is an unbiased estimator of zero if the expectation E(g(X)) remains zero regardless of the value of the parameter θ. Then X is a complete statistic precisely if it admits no such unbiased estimator of zero.

For example, suppose X₁, X₂ are independent, identically distributed random variables, normally distributed with expectation θ and variance 1. Then X₁ — X₂ is an unbiased estimator of zero. Therefore the pair (X₁, X₂) is not a complete statistic. On the other hand, the sum X₁ + X₂ can be shown to be a complete statistic. That means that there is no non-zero function g such that

E (g (X 1 + X 2))

remains zero regardless of changes in the value of θ. That fact may be seen as follows. The probability distribution of X₁ + X₂ is normal with expectation 2θ and variance 2. Its probability density function is therefore

${\rm constant}\cdot\exp\left(-(x-2\theta)^2/4\right).$

The expectation above would therefore be a constant times

$\int_{-\infty}^\infty g(x)\exp\left(-(x-2\theta)^2/4\right)\,dx.$

A bit of algebra reduces this to

$[{\rm a\ nowhere\ zero\ function\ of\ }\theta]\times\int_{-\infty}^\infty h(x)\,e^{x\theta}\,dx{\rm\ where\ }h(x)=g(x)\,e^{-x^2/4}.$

As a function of θ this is a two-sided Laplace transform of h(x), and cannot be identically zero unless h(x) zero almost everywhere.

One reason for the importance of the concept is the Lehmann-Scheffé theorem, which states that a statistic that is complete, sufficient, and unbiased is the best unbiased estimator, i.e., the one that has a smaller mean squared error than any other unbiased estimator, or, more generally, a smaller expected loss, for any convex loss function.

Categories: Statistics